Well I had a good visit from fellow blogger Shepso last night. It was really fun: he came to my class and afterwards well got really drunk. So drunk that I might have failed my French test this afternoon, and I bruised my sternum by falling on my over turned tupperware container I use as a coffee table. Why am I telling you all this, because we didn't talk about hockey that much. Now this is a rare situation in our lives, but the 10-2 shellacking the Oil were subjected to killed our normal appetite to talk about the Oil.
Well, the supposed weakness that the lose displayed is between the pipes. I stopped watching it shortly after the third goal and we didn't score on the two power plays we were presented with. 'Cause of this I am not going to criticizes our tenders but instead look into the future.
What type of strategy works in the NHL today. I will suggested there is the one which you get a big name goalie with a good track record and pay them a truck load: we can call this the franchise goalie model. Or there is the fact you spend your money on the team and hire some slightly below average goalies to keep you in the game: Detroit model. Or lastly you have the tandem model where you get two decent keepers and run them as a pair: traditional teams with depth run this model, think Minnesota a couple years back.
In terms of salary cap, the franchise model will cost you between 7 and 9 million (six or so for the number one, and another million for the backup), the Detroit model will cost about 2 million (one each for the two you get, both career back ups), and the tandem modal will cost about 4-5 million (a veteran that costs 2-3 and a relief pitcher that cost 1-2). In any of these models using a young'en for the back up will save you between 0.25-1 million, the higher the draft pick the lower the savings.
Which one should the Oilers use? This is relevant because at the end of the season they will have to make a decision on going forward.
I don't like the franchise goal strategy because if they have an injury or start playing bad the team is kinda fucked Also there are only a handful of true elite tenders so not every team can go this route. But it does have an advantage in the playoffs, when the difference in goaltending might decide the series. The Red Wings don't use this method and they still win, so it is not a lock. As a fan I like the tandem mode, but tenders like to be the number 1 so from a mental strategy approach it might not be the best idea.
I was hoping to get this guy for a cool million bucks (on a one year contract) in the summer. I figured he be cheap and motivated to play, unless he really likes Russia. But seeing that Lowe would not risk one of the old boys getting punched, I doubt they hire him. But who else is available:
the 5 million dollar men
Niklas Backstrom: sporting a 2.19 GAA and 0.927 Sav%
Middle weights ( $2.5-4 millions men)
Manny Fernandez: 2.07 GAA and 0.928
Nikolai Khabibulin: 2.35 and 0.924
Tim Thomas: he might be on the 5 million dollar list, if not on the higher side of this one
the million or two guys
Scott Clemmensen: has played well in relief in NJ (2.25 GAA and 0.923 Sav%)
Brent Johnson: 2.74 and 0.909 in the Washington net
Manny Legace: 3.12 GAA and 0.888 on a terrible team
Joey MacDonald: 3.27 and 0.900 (I think he will get offers, since he has been one of the few non-disgusting things about the Islanders this year)
Dwanye Roli: if he is close to a million, I'd sign him no problem JDD is not the best positional goal and this man can teach him any Hasek tricks he picked up
Mikael Tellquist: not bad number in the desert (2.75 and 0.913)
the less then a million dollar men
Peter Budaj: 2.91 GAA and 0.899 Sav%
Marc Denis: only played one game in MTL , they have too many goalies, is a UFA and could be a good backup
Gerber: washed up? or just playing on a terrible team
Jason LaBarbera: terrible terrible stats
Curtis Sanford: career back up, might get a league minimum contract (which he will be happy about)
Andrew Raycroft: both COL goalies on this list, they are going to be big time buyers in this market (I am willing to take bets, that they over pay for a goalie in the summer)
(I left Joesph , Norrena, and Garon off because I don't think either could, or should be signed.)
The guys in grey text are the ones I think are of interest. My solution: go out guns a blazing for Backstrom (if we pay too much, at least the Wild don't have him and maybe we can beat them one day), and back-up plan is either Roli or the Bulin Wall on ONE YEAR contracts (Roli for 1.7 Million and Khabibulin for $2.4-3 Million).
What do you think?